Tunisian experts put forward three scenarios for the development of the political crisis in the country in the coming days and weeks, between the success of Tunisian President Kais Saied through popular support and the support of the military and security institutions in implementing his decisions and restoring the political path to its correct position, with the persistence of fears of the chaos scenario that Ennahda is betting on. The Brotherhood” by mobilizing its supporters in the squares, similar to the “Rabaa” sit-in organized by the “Egypt Brotherhood” in the summer of 2013, in addition to a third scenario, which is the Tunisian president’s retreat from his decisions due to the pressures of the political currents led by “Al-Nahda.”
Experts suggested the first scenario and the success of Kais Saied in imposing his political will based on the support shown by the Tunisian street for the decisions, in addition to what the parliament witnessed yesterday, the strong position of the military and security establishment in implementing the decisions and preventing the leader of “Ennahda” Rashid Ghannouchi from storming Parliament.
Dr. Badra Qaaloul, President of the International Center for Strategic, Security and Military Studies in Tunisia, said that the most realistic scenario is the success of President Kais Saied in actually implementing his decisions and extricating the state from the economic, political and social crisis that it has been experiencing since 2011.
She explained to Al-Ittihad that the second scenario of Ennahda escalation in the street by exploiting the remnants of its popular base would push towards cracks in the popular unity, a scenario that might result in the establishment of complete chaos in the country.
She stated that the third and final scenario is that in light of a section of the political class rejecting Said’s decisions and considering them as a “coup against legitimacy” and “a challenge to democracy”, it is possible that the “Ennahda” movement will use a political support force to cancel the decisions of the President of the Republic, and return to the parliament before 25 July. .
In turn, Hazem Al-Kasuri, a Tunisian lawyer and political analyst, considered that his country is going through an important stage in which the Tunisian people demonstrated and demonstrated boldly and courageously against the threat of the “Brotherhood” organization to Tunisia and the civil state, noting that this contributed to facilitating the way for the Tunisian president to take the decision that awaits him. The people, since the elections, which deviated from their correct course, and the use of “Ennahda” by the state to own themselves.
Kasuri stressed to Al-Ittihad that Tunisia is on the verge of many scenarios, including the Brotherhood’s attempt to provoke riots and distort Tunisia’s image in front of the world, but he stressed that the situation is under control in light of the role of the armed forces to secure this stage and is supported by the Tunisian people.
The Tunisian political analyst explained that despite the Brotherhood’s protests against the president’s decisions, the armed forces are ready for any scenario that may be prepared for it. Abdelkader Sacre, a Tunisian strategist, confirmed that Kais Saied is the elected president, the holder of direct popular legitimacy and the symbol of the state, explaining that the application of exceptional measures is one of the president’s duties.
He explained to Al-Ittihad that President Kais Saied responded to the people’s demands in the face of the ruling parliamentary party feudal system led by the “Ennahda” party, which led the country to an economic and social crisis and a political impasse. Sacre expected that the support of national organizations, led by the Tunisian General Labor Union, the decisive decisions of the elected president to correct the course of the popular uprising in 2010 towards a real revolution in which Tunisia restores its regional and international status and achieves the people’s hopes for freedom and social justice.
The Tunisian strategist considered that the corrupt system of the ruling parliamentary party feudal deputies led by “Ennahda” will try to protest against the people’s decisions through some of its supporters, but the people and the armed, military and security forces will be on the side of the constitutional popular legitimacy of President Kais Saied.
In turn, constitutional law researcher Rabeh Al-Kharaifi told Al-Ittihad: The Tunisian president’s decisions have reassured a large part of the Tunisian street, which rejoiced in the streets, stressing that “the street is a key player in this process, as the president responded to what the street demanded, which will gain him more recognition.” trust on the part of Tunisians. Media and political analyst Mustafa Al-Mashat also confirmed in statements to Al-Ittihad that “President Qais Saeed stressed in his speech to the people that he works within the framework of the law, but if the law turns into a tool for settling accounts and empowering the thieves who looted state funds and the impoverished people, it is not the laws that express The will of the people, but rather tools of robbery,” as he put it.
This confirms that the president is familiar with all the files, abuses, and cases that have been on the shelves of the courts for years and have not been decided upon, and which were hostage to political decisions of the parties controlling the political scene. In addition, political analyst Anas Chebbi said: “It seems that the Ennahda movement was not ready for this step from the head of state, so it was confused and was unable to react. Its leaders at the press conference after the events of yesterday appeared confused and its leader went to Parliament believing that his entry to him would change things, Which I think the movement did not imagine so much popular hatred for it.”
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source https://pledgetimes.com/experts-to-al-ittihad-support-from-the-street-and-the-army-support-qais-saeeds-success-in-imposing-the-new-reality/
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